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2010年中国木材供给和需求的灰色模型动态预测与分析(PDF)

《南京林业大学学报(自然科学版)》[ISSN:1000-2006/CN:32-1161/S]

Issue:
1995年03期
Page:
53-64
Column:
研究论文
publishdate:
1900-01-01

Article Info:/Info

Title:
DYNAMIC FORECASTING FOR CHINA’S TIMBER SUPPLY AND DEMAND TILL 2010 BY GREY MODEL AND ITS ANALYSIS
Article ID:
1000-2006(1995)03-0053-12
Author(s):
Zhang Zhiguang; Tang Wenbin
College of Economics and Manasement Nanjing Forestry University Nanjing 210037
Keywords:
: Timber marketSupply and demand Forecast Grey system model
Classification number :
-
DOI:
10.3969/j.jssn.1000-2006.1995.03.011
Document Code:
A
Abstract:
According to the concrete characteristics of timber supply and demand in China, a grey forecasting model is selected, and a set of GM(1, 1 ) models are built for China’s timber production, import, export, saving and substitution, supply and demand. Then dynamic forecasts are made till2010. On these grounds, the problems of China’s timber supply and demand are analysed and theircountermeasures are suggested. Results show that the grey forecasting model not only ensures the forecasting precision demand but also complies better with practical situation.

References

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Last Update: 1900-01-01