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冶勒地区大熊猫种群生存力分析(PDF)

《南京林业大学学报(自然科学版)》[ISSN:1000-2006/CN:32-1161/S]

Issue:
1999年05期
Page:
27-30
Column:
研究论文
publishdate:
1900-01-01

Article Info:/Info

Title:
The Population Viability Analysis of Giant Panda in Yele Area
Article ID:
1000-2006(1999)05-0027-04
Author(s):
Guo Jian Hu Jinchu
Institute of Rare Animals & Plants Sichuan Teachers College Nanchong 637002
Keywords:
Giant pandaVortex modelPopulation viability analysisExtinctionConservation biology
Classification number :
Q958
DOI:
10.3969/j.jssn.1000-2006.1999.05.006
Document Code:
A
Abstract:
Small populations are subject to large fluctuations arising from random processes at a variety of levels (genetic,demogeaphic,environmental and catastrophic),and such variation can place a population at high risk of extinction.Because giant panda is a long term studied animal,many parameters which PVA computer simulation model need can be estimated.We used Vortex computer model made by R.Lacy (vortex 6.3)with four kinds of different parameters to project the likely rate of current Yele panda population.The results show that the number of the panda will slowly increase with no inbreeding depression and no catastrophe,however when we run the computer with a very small inbreeding rate or 1.76% probability of catastrophe the population will be extinct in ninety years and sixty years respectively.

References

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Last Update: 1900-01-01