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考虑碳汇收益的林地期望值最大化及其敏感性分析 ——以杉木和马尾松为例(PDF)

《南京林业大学学报(自然科学版)》[ISSN:1000-2006/CN:32-1161/S]

Issue:
2013年04期
Page:
143-148
Column:
研究论文
publishdate:
2013-07-15

Article Info:/Info

Title:
The maximization of land expectation value(LEV)considering carbon benefits and its sensitivity analysis——take Chinese fir and Masson pine for example
Article ID:
1000-2006(2013)04-0143-06
Author(s):
WANG Xiaoling SHEN Yueqin* ZHU Zhen
College of Economics and Management, Zhejiang A & F University, Lin’an 311300,China
Keywords:
cost-benefit carbon benefits land expectation value sensitivity analysis
Classification number :
F326
DOI:
10.3969/j.issn.1000-2006.2013.04.027
Document Code:
A
Abstract:
Based on the costs and benefits data of Chinese fir and Masson pine, this study used the growth equation and carbon storage in biomass transformation and expansion factor method to estimate carbon storage of Chinese fir and Masson pine respectively in southern collective forests region of China. Then, we compared the land expectation value with and without carbon benefits and analyzed the sensitivity of discount rate, input and output prices with developing Hartman model. The results showed that:(1)The rotation of Chinese fir was a half of the rotation of Masson pine, but Chinese fir had higher net profit than Masson pine in a single rotation.(2)The land expectation value of both species represented an inverse “U” shape, but the difference between Chinese fir and Masson pine increased firstly and then decreased.(3)The discount rate was negatively related to land expected value, there appeared a difference of sensitivity of two species at the same price factors.

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Last Update: 2013-07-30