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外来观赏植物大花金鸡菊在中国的 潜在地理分布预测(PDF)

《南京林业大学学报(自然科学版)》[ISSN:1000-2006/CN:32-1161/S]

Issue:
2016年01期
Page:
53-58
Column:
研究论文
publishdate:
2016-01-31

Article Info:/Info

Title:
Prediction of potential geographic distribution of alien species Coreopsis grandiflora in China
Article ID:
1000-2006(2016)01-0053-06
Author(s):
PENG Ye1 WANG Yan2 GU Hui1YE Jianren1
1.Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Prevention and Management of Invasive Species,College of Biology and the Environment, Nanjing Forestry University,Nanjing 210037, China;
2.Shanghai Forestry Station,Shanghai 200072, China
Keywords:
Coreopsis grandiflora Maxent ecologic niche modeling predicting potential distribution invasive species
Classification number :
S718
DOI:
10.3969/j.issn.1000-2006.2016.01.009
Document Code:
A
Abstract:
As a kind of introductive alien plant, Coreopsis grandiflora has become an invasive species in Shandong and other regions of China due to its strong reproductive capacity and ability to adapt, and has threatened the local ecosystem. Based on global altitude variable and 19 climate variables, the potential distribution of C. grandiflora in China was predicted by maximum entropy(Maxent)models and geographic information system(ArcGis). Results showed that the suitable distribution of C. grandiflora in China ranged 98°-125°E, 21.5°-43°N, the warm temperate and subtropical zone. C. grandiflora mainly concentrated in eastern China and central China including Jiangsu, Anhui, Shanghai and Shandong. The southern China and southwest of China were middle or low suitable areas. The other parts of China were unfavorable for the growth of C. grandiflora. The ROC carve indicated that the AUC Value based on the datas of treating and testing were 0.960,0.965,respectively, showed high predictive accuracy. With the highest contribution percentages, annual mean temperature, annual mean precipitation, mean temperature of coldest quarter were the three most important environmental factors influencing the distribution of the species. Based on the results of Maxent model, its biological characteristics and invasive status in China, it is necessary to take some effective measure to restrict the extending of the species in central and east China.

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Last Update: 2016-02-25