[1]宋 歌,王金朔,何立恒*,等.基于CLUE-S模型的西部干旱区土地利用变化情景模拟[J].南京林业大学学报(自然科学版),2013,37(03):135-139.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-2006.2013.03.024]
 SONG Ge,WANG Jinshuo,HE Liheng*,et al.Simulation of land use change in western arid region under different scenarios based on the CLUE-S model[J].Journal of Nanjing Forestry University(Natural Science Edition),2013,37(03):135-139.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-2006.2013.03.024]
点击复制

基于CLUE-S模型的西部干旱区土地利用变化情景模拟
分享到:

《南京林业大学学报(自然科学版)》[ISSN:1000-2006/CN:32-1161/S]

卷:
37
期数:
2013年03期
页码:
135-139
栏目:
研究论文
出版日期:
2013-05-20

文章信息/Info

Title:
Simulation of land use change in western arid region under different scenarios based on the CLUE-S model
作者:
宋 歌1王金朔1何立恒2*陈昌沉1周寅康1杨悉廉1
1. 南京大学地理与海洋科学学院,江苏 南京 210093;
2. 南京林业大学土木工程学院,江苏 南京 210037
Author(s):
SONG Ge1WANG Jinshuo1HE Liheng2*CHEN Changchen1ZHOU Yinkang1YANG Xilian1
1. School of Geographic and Oceanographic Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093,China;
2. College of Civil Engineering, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, China
关键词:
CLUE-S模型 土地利用 干旱区 库尔勒市
Keywords:
CLUE-S model land use arid region Korla city
分类号:
TU98; TP391
DOI:
10.3969/j.issn.1000-2006.2013.03.024
摘要:
为探讨西部干旱区城市化进程中土地利用时空演变规律,以库尔勒市城市扩展区为研究对象,依据1998、2005年和2010年3期遥感影像及相关社会经济数据,分析研究区快速城市化进程中的土地利用结构变化,并以2010年土地利用格局为基础,采用CLUE-S模型分别模拟了自然增长、水资源约束和生态保护情景下研究区2020年的土地利用格局。研究结果表明:各情景下,耕地、建设用地和园林地的面积都不断增加,未利用地面积持续减少。在水资源约束情景下,耕地和水域受到保护,建设用地扩展速度被抑制; 在生态保护情景下,通过对园林地、水域和荒草地等生态用地的保护,限制城镇盲目扩张,对保护研究区生态环境有重要意义。
Abstract:
In order to explore the temporal and spatial characteristics of land use change in western arid city, this paper analyzed the change of land use pattern in Korla city according to the data of remote sensing images in 1998, 2005 and 2010 and related social economic data. At the same time, the land use pattern in 2020 was simulated by CLUE-S model under three different scenarios including natural growth, water restriction, and ecological protection based on the land use pattern in 2010. The results showed that the area for farming, construction land and garden land would increase ceaselessly, but unutilized land continued to declining. Under water restriction scenario, the expansion of construction land would be restricted due to the preservation of farmland and water resource. The ecological environment can be protected by preservation of ecological land and restriction of construction land under ecological protection scenario.

参考文献/References:

[1] Foley J A, Defries R, Asner G P, et al. Global consequences of land use[J].Science, 2005,5734: 570-574.
[2] Ellis E A, Baerenklau K A, Marcos-Martínez R, et al. Land use/land cover change dynamics and drivers in a low-grade marginal coffee growing region of Veracruz, Mexico[J]. Agroforestry Systems, 2010, 80(1):61-84.
[3] 刘纪远,邓祥征. LUCC时空过程研究的方法进展[J]. 科学通报,2009,54(21):3251-3258. Liu J Y, Deng X Z. Progress of the research methodologies on the temporal and spatial process of LUCC[J]. Chinese Sci Bull, 2009, 54(21):3251-3258.
[4] 黎治华,高志强,高炜,等. 中国1999-2009年土地覆盖动态变化的时空特点[J]. 农业工程学报,2011,27(2): 312-322. Li Z H, Gao Z Q, Gao Wei, et al. Spatio-temporal feature of land use/land cover dynamic changes in China from 1999 to 2009[J]. Transactions of the CSAE, 2011, 27(2): 312-322.
[5] 郑丙辉,田自强,李子成. 黑河流域土地覆盖变化与生态环境退化过程分析[J]. 干旱区资源与环境,2005,19(1): 62-66. Zheng B H, Tian Z Q, Li Z C. The course and cause analysis of environment degeneration in Heihe River basin[J]. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2005, 19(1): 62-66.
[6] 郑国强, 江南, 史同广. 长江三角洲土地利用变化及驱动力分析[J]. 南京林业大学学报:自然科学版, 2004, 28(6): 18-22. Zheng G Q, Jiang N, Shi T G. The analysis of the land use change and driving forces in the Yangtze River Delta[J]. Journal of Nanjing Forestry University: Natural Sciences Edition, 2004, 28(6): 18-22.
[7] 史培军,陈晋,潘耀忠. 深圳市土地利用变化机制分析[J]. 地理学报,2000,55(2): 151-160. Shi P J, Chen J, Pan Y Z. Land use change mechanism in Shenzhen city[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2000, 55(2):151-160.
[8] 王静爱,何春阳,董艳春,等. 北京城乡过渡区土地利用变化驱动力分析[J]. 地球科学进展, 2002,17(2): 201-208. Wang J A, Hen C Y, Dong Y C, et al. Analysis of land use/cover driving forces in the urban fringe of Beijing city[J]. Advance in Earth Sciences, 2002, 17(2): 201-208.
[9] 侍昊, 薛建辉, 马婉丽. 1991-2006年无锡市土地利用变化动态度及转换参数分析[J]. 南京林业大学学报:自然科学版, 2012, 36(6): 63-68. Shi H, Xue J H, Ma W L. Analysis on dynamic degree and transition parameters of land-use type changes in Wuxi city, Jiangsu during 1991-2006[J]. Journal of Nanjing Forestry University: Natural Sciences Edition, 2012, 36(6): 63-68.
[10] 彭建. 喀斯特生态脆弱区土地利用/覆被变化研究[D]. 北京:北京大学,2006.
[11] 史利江, 王圣云, 姚晓军, 等. 1994-2006年上海市土地利用时空变化特征及驱动力分析[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2012, 21(12): 1468-1479. Shi J L, Wang S Y, Yao X J, et al. Spatial and temporal variation characteristics of land use and its driving force in shanghai city from 1994 to 2006[J]. Resources and Environment in Yangtze Basin, 2012, 21(12): 1468-1479.
[12] 王让会,孙洪波,赵振勇. 新疆且末绿洲土地利用变化机制与驱动力分析[J]. 干旱区地理,2005,28(6): 849-855. Wang R H, Sun H B, Zhao Z Y. Analysis on the mechanism and driving forces of land use/cover change in the Qiemo Oasis, Xinjiang[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2005, 28(6): 849-855.
[13] 赵锐锋,姜朋辉,陈亚宁,等. 塔里木河干流区土地利用/覆被变化及其生态环境效应[J]. 地理科学,2012,32(2): 244-250. Zhao F R, Jiang P H, Chen Y N, et al. Land use/cover change and its eco-environment effect in the Main Stream of Tarim River[J]. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2012, 32(2):244-250.
[14] 张飞,塔西甫拉提·特依拜,丁建丽,等. 干旱区绿洲土地利用/覆被及景观格局变化特征——以新疆精河县为例[J]. 生态学报,2009,29(3): 1251-1263. Zhang F, Tashpolat·Tiyip, Ding J L, et al. The Change of land use/cover and characteristics of landscape pattern in arid areas oasis: A case study of Jinghe county, Xinjiang province[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2009,29(3):1251-1263.
[15] 罗格平,周成虎,陈曦. 干旱区绿洲土地利用与覆被变化过程[J]. 地理学报, 2003,58(1):63-72. Luo G P, Zhou C H, Chen X. Process of land use/land cover change in the oasis of arid region[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2003, 58(1):63-72.
[16] 塔西甫拉提·特依拜,赵睿,丁建丽,等. 干旱区绿洲LUCC马尔柯夫过程分析—以新疆于田绿洲为例[J]. 干旱区地理,2006,29(4): 548-556. Tashpolat·Tiyip, Zhao R, Ding J L, et al. Analysis of Markov process of LUCC in oasis of arid area-a case of the Yutian Oasis[J]. Arid land Geography, 2006, 29(4):548-556.
[17] 吴健生,冯喆,高阳,等. CLUE-S模型应用进展与改进研究[J]. 地理科学进展,2012,31(1): 3-10. Wu J S, Feng Z, Gao Y, et al. Recent progresses on the application and improvement of the CLUE-S model[J]. Progress in Geography, 2012, 31(1): 3-10.
[18] 黄明,张学霞,张建军,等. 基于CLUE-S模型的罗玉沟流域多尺度土地利用变化模拟[J]. 资源科学,2012,34(4): 769-776. Huang M, Zhang X X, Zhang J J, et al. A multi-scale simulation of land use change in Luoyugou watershed based on CLUE-S model[J]. Resources Science, 2012, 34(4): 769-776.
[19] 吴健生,冯喆,黄力,等. 基于CLUE-S模型框架的土地可持续利用情景预测—以阳泉市郊区为例[J]. 资源科学,2011,33(9): 1699-1707. Wu J S, Feng Z, Huang L, et al. CLUE-S based scenario prediction on sustainable land use: a case study of suburban district, Yangquan city[J]. Resources Science, 2011, 33(9):1699-1707.
[20] 梁友嘉,徐中民,钟方雷. 基于SD和CLUE-S模型的张掖市甘州区土地利用情景分析[J]. 地理研究,2011,30(3): 564-576. Liang Y J, Xu Z M, Zhong F L. Land use scenario analyses based on system dynamic model and CLUE-S model at regional scale: a case study of Ganzhou district of Zhangye city[J]. Geographical Research, 2011,30(3):564-576.
[21] 刘纪远. 国家资源环境遥感宏观调查与动态监测研究[J]. 遥感学报,1997,1(3): 225-230. Liu J Y. Study on national resources & environment survey and dynamic monitoring using remote sensing[J]. Journal of Remote Sensing, 1997, 1(3):225-230.
[22] Verburg P H, Soepber W, Veldkamp P A, et al. Modeling the spatial dynamics of regional land use: the CLUE-S model[J]. Environmental Management, 2002, 30(3):391-405.
[23] Pontius R G, Schneider L C. Land-cover change model validation by an ROC method for the Ipswich watershed, Massachusetts, USA[J]. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 2001, 85: 239-248.

相似文献/References:

[1]武传胜,沙丽清*,高建梅,等.哀牢山中山湿性常绿阔叶林与人工茶园土壤呼吸的季节变化[J].南京林业大学学报(自然科学版),2012,36(03):064.[doi:10.3969/j.jssn.1000-2006.2012.03.014]
 WU Chuansheng,SHA Liqing*,GAO Jianmei,et al.Analysis of soil respiration in a montane evergreen broad-leaved forest and an artificial tea garden in Ailao Mountains, Yunnan province[J].Journal of Nanjing Forestry University(Natural Science Edition),2012,36(03):064.[doi:10.3969/j.jssn.1000-2006.2012.03.014]
[2]杨 静,张金池*,庄家尧,等.基于多源数据的北京地区运河沿线综合环境评价研究[J].南京林业大学学报(自然科学版),2012,36(04):018.[doi:10.3969/j.jssn.1000-2006.2012.04.004]
 YANG Jing,ZHANG Jinchi*,ZHUANG Jiayao,et al.Multi-resources data based environment assessment of the Jing-Hang Grand Canal in Beijing[J].Journal of Nanjing Forestry University(Natural Science Edition),2012,36(03):018.[doi:10.3969/j.jssn.1000-2006.2012.04.004]
[3]姜旭娟,刘茂松*,陈奋飞,等.河流水质与土地利用及河道结构特征关系的对比分析[J].南京林业大学学报(自然科学版),2015,39(02):091.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-2006.2015.02.016]
 JIANG Xujuan,LIU Maosong*,CHEN Fenfei,et al.Correlations analysis of river water quality with land use and river structure[J].Journal of Nanjing Forestry University(Natural Science Edition),2015,39(03):091.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-2006.2015.02.016]
[4]吴 翼,戴 蓉,徐勇峰,等.洪泽湖河湖交汇区土地利用时空动态[J].南京林业大学学报(自然科学版),2016,40(04):022.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-2006.2016.04.004]
 WU Yi,DAI Rong,XU Yongfeng,et al.Spatial and temporal changes in wetland use in the meeting place of Hung-tse Lake and Huaihe River[J].Journal of Nanjing Forestry University(Natural Science Edition),2016,40(03):022.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-2006.2016.04.004]
[5]吕国屏,廖承锐,徐雁南*,等.基于CAMarkov模型的喀斯特地区县域生态系统服务价值动态模拟[J].南京林业大学学报(自然科学版),2017,41(05):049.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-2006.201612022]
 LYU Guoping,LIAO Chengrui,XU Yannan*,et al.Dynamic simulation of future ecosystem service value in Puding County, Guizhou Province based on CA-Markov model[J].Journal of Nanjing Forestry University(Natural Science Edition),2017,41(03):049.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-2006.201612022]
[6]刘晓双,龚直文,吴 见.基于多特征的高光谱遥感土地利用信息提取[J].南京林业大学学报(自然科学版),2018,42(04):141.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-2006.201705029]
 LIU Xiaoshuang,GONG Zhiwen,WU Jian.Land use information extraction using multiple features derivedfrom hyperspectral images[J].Journal of Nanjing Forestry University(Natural Science Edition),2018,42(03):141.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-2006.201705029]
[7]牛宇琛,孔 进,王 薇,等.库坝和土地利用状况对河流水质的影响[J].南京林业大学学报(自然科学版),2018,42(05):107.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-2006.201706042]
 NIU Yuchen,KONG Jin,WANG Wei,et al.Effects of dams and landscape on river water quality: a case study in Suo River[J].Journal of Nanjing Forestry University(Natural Science Edition),2018,42(03):107.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-2006.201706042]
[8]胡 鸿,许延丽,鞠洪波,等.基于遥感影像的福建省长汀县级植被覆盖变化监测及分析[J].南京林业大学学报(自然科学版),2019,43(03):092.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-2006.201805013]
 HU Hong,XU Yanli,JU Hongbo,et al.Monitoring and analysis of county-level vegetation cover change in Changting, Fujian based on remote sensing images[J].Journal of Nanjing Forestry University(Natural Science Edition),2019,43(03):092.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-2006.201805013]

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2012-11-06 修回日期:2013-03-22
基金项目:教育部博士点基金项目(20120091110014)
第一作者:宋歌,硕士生。*通信作者:何立恒,副教授。E-mail:hlh8046@njfu.edu.cn。
引文格式:宋歌,王金朔,金晓斌,等. 基于CLUE-S模型的西部干旱区土地利用变化情景模拟[J]. 南京林业大学学报:自然科学版,2013,37(3):135-139.
更新日期/Last Update: 2013-05-31