基于CLUE-S模型的西部干旱区土地利用变化情景模拟

宋歌; 王金朔; 何立恒; 陈昌沉; 周寅康; 杨悉廉

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-2006.2013.03.024

宋歌,王金朔,何立恒,陈昌沉,周寅康,杨悉廉

南京林业大学学报（自然科学版） ›› 2013, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (03) : 135-139.

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南京林业大学学报（自然科学版） ›› 2013, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (03) : 135-139. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-2006.2013.03.024

研究论文

基于CLUE-S模型的西部干旱区土地利用变化情景模拟

宋歌¹,王金朔¹,何立恒^2*,陈昌沉¹,周寅康¹,杨悉廉¹

作者信息 +

Simulation of land use change in western arid region under different scenarios based on the CLUE-S model

SONG Ge¹,WANG Jinshuo¹,HE Liheng^2*,CHEN Changchen¹,ZHOU Yinkang¹,YANG Xilian¹

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摘要

为探讨西部干旱区城市化进程中土地利用时空演变规律,以库尔勒市城市扩展区为研究对象,依据1998、2005年和2010年3期遥感影像及相关社会经济数据,分析研究区快速城市化进程中的土地利用结构变化,并以2010年土地利用格局为基础,采用CLUE-S模型分别模拟了自然增长、水资源约束和生态保护情景下研究区2020年的土地利用格局。研究结果表明:各情景下,耕地、建设用地和园林地的面积都不断增加,未利用地面积持续减少。在水资源约束情景下,耕地和水域受到保护,建设用地扩展速度被抑制; 在生态保护情景下,通过对园林地、水域和荒草地等生态用地的保护,限制城镇盲目扩张,对保护研究区生态环境有重要意义。

Abstract

In order to explore the temporal and spatial characteristics of land use change in western arid city, this paper analyzed the change of land use pattern in Korla city according to the data of remote sensing images in 1998, 2005 and 2010 and related social economic data. At the same time, the land use pattern in 2020 was simulated by CLUE-S model under three different scenarios including natural growth, water restriction, and ecological protection based on the land use pattern in 2010. The results showed that the area for farming, construction land and garden land would increase ceaselessly, but unutilized land continued to declining. Under water restriction scenario, the expansion of construction land would be restricted due to the preservation of farmland and water resource. The ecological environment can be protected by preservation of ecological land and restriction of construction land under ecological protection scenario.

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宋歌,王金朔,何立恒,陈昌沉,周寅康,杨悉廉. 基于CLUE-S模型的西部干旱区土地利用变化情景模拟[J]. 南京林业大学学报（自然科学版）. 2013, 37(03): 135-139 https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1000-2006.2013.03.024

SONG Ge,WANG Jinshuo,HE Liheng,CHEN Changchen,ZHOU Yinkang,YANG Xilian. Simulation of land use change in western arid region under different scenarios based on the CLUE-S model[J]. JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY. 2013, 37(03): 135-139 https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1000-2006.2013.03.024

中图分类号： TU98 TP391

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基金

收稿日期:2012-11-06 修回日期:2013-03-22
基金项目:教育部博士点基金项目(20120091110014)
第一作者:宋歌,硕士生。*通信作者:何立恒,副教授。E-mail:hlh8046@njfu.edu.cn。
引文格式:宋歌,王金朔,金晓斌,等. 基于CLUE-S模型的西部干旱区土地利用变化情景模拟[J]. 南京林业大学学报:自然科学版,2013,37(3):135-139.