<正>将1950至1989年间发表的竹类研究文献划分为8个主要研究领域。并使用时间序列分析模型分别对各研究领域作了分析。结果表明,大多数较为成熟的研究领域其文献量将呈下降趋势,但竹类经济、园林等新兴领域在今后将有较快的发展。

Based on the literature information collected by the Information Office of Nanjing Forestry University, the authors, since 1950 have classified all the bamboo research papers into 8 main study areas and analyzed each of them by use of time series analysis modle, both the self-regression equations and periodogram from the statistical model show a decline tendency of bamboo literature for most classical and mature study areas, However few prosperous areas such as bamboo economics, garden design etc. will develop rapidly later on.