南京林业大学学报(自然科学版) ›› 2009, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (05): 60-.doi: 10.3969/j.jssn.1000-2006.2009.05.013

• 研究论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

生态环境保护约束下的土地利用变化模拟 ——以昆明市滇池流域为例

谭露,李满春*,刘永学,蔡文婷   

  1. 南京大学地理与海洋科学学院,江苏南京210093
  • 出版日期:2009-10-18 发布日期:2009-10-18
  • 基金资助:
    收稿日期:2009-03-07修回日期:2009-06-26基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(40101117,J0630535);教育部博士点基金项目(20070284001)作者简介:谭露(1985—),硕士生。*李满春(通讯作者):教授,研究方向为基于GIS的土地利用规划。Email: manchun@nju.edu.cn。引文格式:谭露,李满春,刘永学,等. 生态环境保护约束下的土地利用变化模拟——以昆明市滇池流域为例[J]. 南京林业大学学报:自然科学版,2009,33(5):60-64.

Study of land use simulation on the condition of ecological environment protection—A case research in Dianchi Basin in Kunming

TAN Lu, LI Manchun*, LIU Yongxue, CAI Wenting   

  1. School of Geographic and Oceanographic Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China
  • Online:2009-10-18 Published:2009-10-18

摘要: 土地利用变化模拟是土地利用研究的重要方法,生态环境保护是土地利用的重要约束条件。笔者通过建立多因素综合判别模型,分析并量化土地利用变化的生态环境约束,以此作为SLEUTH模型的限制因素层控制城市扩展和土地利用变化,从而实现了土地利用变化模型与生态环境分析的松散耦合,有效模拟生态环境保护下的城市扩展和土地利用变化。将该模型应用于滇池流域,对比分析2005年土地利用模拟结果与实际情况,结果表明,现行土地利用规划体现了生态环境保护原则,但仍存在不合理的土地利用布局。

Abstract: Land use simulation is an important methodology to study land use change. Ecological environment protection is a major constraint of land use. In this paper, we built a multifactor comprehensive decision model to analysis ecological environment. The result was imported into SLEUTH model to constrain land use change, therefore, realized a loose couple of urban growth model and ecological environment analysis and successfully simulated urban expansion on the condition of effective ecological environment protection. The model was adopted to simulate landuse in Dianchi basin. The simulated result and the actual landuse in 2005 were compared. It indicated that current land use plan had taken ecological environment protection into account, although unreasonable land use still remained. The simulated result proposed a relatively new foundation to evaluate the existing land use situation and assisted future land use planning.

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