南京林业大学学报(自然科学版) ›› 1990, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (02): 9-15.doi: 10.3969/j.jssn.1000-2006.1990.02.002

• 研究论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

森林资源结构动态预测模型和方法的研究

余松柏;林昌庚   

  1. 南京林业大学林学系;南京林业大学林学系
  • 出版日期:1990-06-18 发布日期:1990-04-18

STUDIES ON DYNAMIC FORECASTING MODELS AND METHODS OF STRUCTURE FOR FOREST RESOURCES

Yu Songbai Lin Changgeng   

  1. Department of Forestry
  • Online:1990-06-18 Published:1990-04-18

摘要: <正>本文用状态向量描述森林资源动态。先用广西森林连续清查数据建立森林蓄积和面积的状态概率转移矩阵及动态预测模型,经规范化得等间隔期转移矩阵,然后用卡尔曼滤波方法对广西森林资源结构作动态预测,效果良好。

Abstract: The state vectors are used to describe the dynamical variables for forest resources in this paper. First, by using the data obtained from CFI in Guang-xi province, the transitional matrices of probability for forest volumes and areas and the dynamic forecasting models of structure for forest resources are built. Through standard transformation, the transitional matrices proper for the equivalent intervals of time are attained. Secondly, the methods of Kalman filtering are used to forecast the dynamics of structure for forest resources in Guangxi, it shows excellent results.