Spatio-temporal variations and influencing factors of water yield in the Thousand-Island Lake basin in the past 30 years

doi:10.12302/j.issn.1000-2006.202111028

JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY ›› 2023, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (3): 111-119.doi: 10.12302/j.issn.1000-2006.202111028

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Spatio-temporal variations and influencing factors of water yield in the Thousand-Island Lake basin in the past 30 years

ZHU Zhihong¹^,²(), ZHOU Benzhi¹^,^*(), WANG Yixiang², QI Jun³, LI Aibo¹, HUANG Runxia¹

1. Research Institute of Subtropical Forestry, Chinese Academy of Forestry, Hangzhou 311400, China
2. School of Environmental and Resources Science, Zhejiang A & F University, Hangzhou 311300, China
3. Shanghai Chunqin Ecological Garden Construction Limited Liability Company, Shanghai 201210, China

Received:2021-11-16 Revised:2022-04-28 Online:2023-05-30 Published:2023-05-25
Contact: ZHOU Benzhi E-mail:zhuzhihong0514@163.com;benzhi_zhou@126.com

Abstract

Abstract:

【Objective】The Thousand-Island Lake basin is an important water conservation and ecological barrier area in the Yangtze River Delta. Thus, the study of water supply services is of great significance to ecological protection and high-quality sustainable development of the social economy. 【Method】The water yield of the Thousand-Island Lake basin was quantified over a six-year period: 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015 and 2019 based on the InVEST model, and water yield spatio-temporal variations and influencing factors were explored using the scenario and geodetector analyses.【Result】From 1995 to 2019, water yield inter-annual variations in the Thousand-Island Lake basin was consistent with precipitation trends; that is the water yield decreased significantly from 1995 to 2005, increased significantly from 2005 to 2015, and showed a subsequent marginal decrease from 2015 to 2019. Spatial distribution patterns showed little variation over the study period; however, patterns were high in the west of the basin and low in the basin’s eastern lake. The average water yield of buildings was higher than that of other land use types, followed by grasslands and woodland; water bodies had the lowest average water yield. Precipitation had a stronger effect on water yield than that of land use changes, which was significant. Actual evapotranspiration was the main driving factor of water spatial patterns, followed by land use types. The interaction between actual evapotranspiration and rainfall was the most significant than others. 【Conclusion】The water yield is the result of a combination of factors including climate and land use types. For the future ecological construction and environmental protection, the impact of terrain, climate, and human activities on water yield services must be considered and comprehensively studied.

Key words: water yield, InVEST model, geodetector, land use, Thousand-Island Lake basin

CLC Number:

Q148
S757

ZHU Zhihong, ZHOU Benzhi, WANG Yixiang, QI Jun, LI Aibo, HUANG Runxia. Spatio-temporal variations and influencing factors of water yield in the Thousand-Island Lake basin in the past 30 years[J]. JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY, 2023, 47(3): 111-119.

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References 35

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1995	2019
1995	水体 water area	建筑用地 construction land	农田 farm land	未利用地 unused land	草地 grass land	林地 forest land	合计 total
水体water area	442.12	4.73	14.20	0.02	0.07	16.74	477.88
建筑用地construction land	0.22	9.31	6.93	0.22	0.01	6.22	22.92
农田 farm land	6.71	16.01	112.85	1.20	2.18	99.13	238.07
未利用地unused land	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0.01
草地grass land	0	0.22	0.01	0	0	0.91	1.16
林地forestland	1.95	20.41	7.89	0.51	3.56	3 751.65	3 785.96
合计total	451.00	50.68	141.88	1.96	5.82	3 874.67	4 526.01

年份 year	平均产水量/mm water yield	产水总量/×10⁸ m³ total water production	降水量/mm precipitation
1995	1 387.04	62.78	1 890.36
2000	863.21	39.07	1 364.43
2005	652.61	29.54	1 191.02
2010	1 466.52	66.38	1 944.52
2015	1 738.37	78.67	2 183.63
2019	1 247.56	56.47	1 777.51

情景 scenarios	变化量/mm variation quantity	贡献度/% contribution degree
情景1 scenario 1	-739.17	100.50
情景2 scenario 2	597.53	100.45
情景3 scenario 3	3.64	-0.50
情景4 scenario 4	-2.66	-0.45

情景 scenarios	产水总量/×10⁸ m³ total water production	产水总量变化量/×10⁸ m³ change of total water production
情景5 scenario 5	56.60	0.13
情景6 scenario 6	56.29	-0.17
情景7 scenario 7	56.36	-0.11
情景8 scenario 8	56.42	-0.04

年份 year	实际蒸散量 actual evapotranspiration	潜在蒸散量 potential evapotranspiration	降水量 precipitation	土地利用 land use	坡向 aspect	海拔 elevation	坡度 slope
1995	0.84	0.33	0.37	0.63	0.13	0.05	0.06
2000	0.96	0.20	0.22	0.82	0.13	0.03	0.06
2005	0.97	0.18	0.16	0.86	0.14	0.02	0.08
2010	0.68	0.05	0.46	0.64	0.10	0.03	0.04
2015	0.8	0.46	0.45	0.64	0.11	0.02	0.03
2019	0.95	0.05	0.13	0.89	0.13	0.01	0.03
平均mean	0.87	0.21	0.30	0.75	0.13	0.03	0.05

Spatio-temporal variations and influencing factors of water yield in the Thousand-Island Lake basin in the past 30 years

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影响因子 factor	实际蒸散量 actual evapotranspiration	潜在蒸散量 potential evapotranspiration	降水量 precipitation	土地利用 land use	坡向 aspect	海拔 elevation	坡度 slope
实际蒸散量actual evapotranspiration	0.865 7
潜在蒸散量potential evapotranspiration	0.936 4	0.213 1
降水量precipitation	0.995 5	0.508 2	0.298 5
土地利用land use	0.874 2	0.862 3	0.916 1	0.747 1
坡向aspect	0.913 1	0.518 7	0.579 5	0.787 1	0.125 2
海拔elevation	0.904 6	0.319 0	0.412 7	0.771 2	0.241 8	0.025 9
坡度slope	0.897 3	0.352 6	0.469 7	0.774 2	0.287 5	0.142 7	0.047 9

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