JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY ›› 2022, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (2): 227-235.doi: 10.12302/j.issn.1000-2006.202102005

Previous Articles     Next Articles

Spatiotemporal variations and a driving force analysis of arbor forest loss

ZHAO Qing1(), HUANG Fei1, CHEN Xiaohui1, LIN Yuying2, QIU Rongzu1, WU Zhilong1, HU Xisheng1,*()   

  1. 1. College of Transportation and Civil Engineering, Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou 350108, China
    2. College of Tourism, Fujian Normal University, Fuzhou 350117, China
  • Received:2021-02-01 Accepted:2021-05-23 Online:2022-03-30 Published:2022-04-08
  • Contact: HU Xisheng E-mail:1360223929@qq.com;xshu@fafu.edu.com

Abstract:

【Objective】As the main body of forest ecosystems, arbor forests play a decisive role regarding ecological functions such as climate regulation and water and soil conservation. The major objective of this study was to understand the spatiotemporal variation trend of arbor forest loss and to explore the driving factors responsible for arbor forest loss in China. 【Method】Based on the Sen+Mann-Kendall significance test and the standard deviation ellipse method, this study analyzed the spatio-temporal changes in tree loss from 2005 to 2018. The exploratory regression analysis was used to screen the main driving factors of tree loss (tree height > 5 m), and the spatiotemporal pattern of the driving factors contributing to tree loss was investigated using a geographically weighted regression model. 【Result】(1) The loss of arbor forest in China showed an increasing trend from 2005 to 2018, with an annual increase of 412.451 km2. (2) From 2005 to 2018, the migration path of arbor forest loss characterized by the gravity center of the forest changed irregularly, and the areas with serious arbor forest loss concentrated in the south. (3) Per capita gross domestic product was mainly negatively correlated with arbor forest loss; the positive correlation area of per capita disposable income of urban residents increased markedly, but the influence decreased; the urbanization rate showed a positive correlation with arbor forest loss, and the degree of influence decreased; road density showed a negative correlation with arbor forest loss, and its negative effect on the loss of arbor forest was not significant. 【Conclusion】In the context of the overall continuous improvement of forest resources in China, however, there are obvious regional differences regarding the loss of arbor forests. This study found that the loss of arbor forests in the northeast forest region and the Three Northern Shelterbelt Project implementation regions was small and showed a significant reducing trend, whereas in the Southeast forest region, the loss of arboreal forests in Hunan, Jiangxi, Guangdong, Guangxi, and other provinces was relatively large and still showed a trend of the significant increase.

Key words: loss of arbor forest, Sen+Mann-Kendall, standard deviation ellipse method(SDE), geographically weighted regression(GWR), spatiotemporal variation, driving force

CLC Number: