Dynamic simulation of multi-agent benefit distributions in the forest paper green supply chain with back-feeding mechanisms

doi:10.12302/j.issn.1000-2006.202110056

JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY ›› 2023, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (3): 217-224.doi: 10.12302/j.issn.1000-2006.202110056

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Dynamic simulation of multi-agent benefit distributions in the forest paper green supply chain with back-feeding mechanisms

YUE Qingru¹^,²(), ZHANG Zhiguang¹^,^*()

1. College of Economics and Management, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037,China
2. Business College, Jinling University of Science and Technology, Nanjing 211169,China

Received:2021-10-29 Revised:2022-02-21 Online:2023-05-30 Published:2023-05-25
Contact: ZHANG Zhiguang E-mail:281039291@qq.com;zzg@njfu.com.cn

Abstract

Abstract:

【Objective】This study introduces the back-feeding mechanism, considers the benefit of back feeding for paper making and marketing subjects to forest management subjects, and explores a new path of effective benefit distribution and stable symbiotic development of a green supply chain for forest to the paper.【Method】Based on the theory of system dynamics, the forest to the paper green supply chain is built as a cooperation alliance, and the causality diagram is drawn, with relevant variables extracted, the system flow diagram drawn, the values of relevant variables calculated and the variable equation designed. Multiple benefit feedback proportion schemes are designed, and the change trend of the overall and individual benefits of the forest to the paper green supply chain are analyzed through a dynamic model simulation.【Result】Under the benefit feedback schemes, the overall economic, ecological, and individual benefits of the forest to paper green supply chain were higher than those of the non-feedback scheme. From the perspective of individual benefits, it is preferable to choose the fixed proportion Ⅰ scheme in which papermaking and other entities feed back the sustainable elements of 10% of the symbiotic income of the forest management entities annually, rather than the variable Ⅰ (20%,16%,12%,8%,4%) proportion scheme, in which papermaking and other entities feed back the forest management entities annually, and the proportion of back-feeding is low. From the perspective of overall benefits, the scheme of variable proportion Ⅱ (30%,25%,20%,15%,10%) is preferred, where the proportion of back-feeding of papermaking and other entities to the main body of forest management changes annually, and the proportion of back-feeding is high.【Conclusion】The back-feeding scheme is better than the non back-feeding scheme. From the perspective of the overall benefits of the green supply chain for forest to paper, the higher the proportion of back-feeding, the greater the benefit. From the perspective of the individual benefits of the green supply chain, when the back-feeding proportion is close to the scenario, the variable-proportion scheme is better than the fixed-proportion scheme. From the perspective of the individual benefits, the proportion of back-feeding should not be too high. While selecting a scheme, the core enterprise takes the lead, and multiple subjects participate in the discussion to select a satisfactory scheme.

Key words: forest paper green supply chain, distribution of benefits, back-feeding mechanism, system dynamics, hypercycle economy

CLC Number:

F205

YUE Qingru, ZHANG Zhiguang. Dynamic simulation of multi-agent benefit distributions in the forest paper green supply chain with back-feeding mechanisms[J]. JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY, 2023, 47(3): 217-224.

Figures/Tables 6

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Table 1

Table 2

Table 3

Fig.3

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变量variable	含义meaning	变量variable	含义meaning
A_a/hm²	造林面积afforestation area	M_ei/万元	营销主体收入marketing entities income
C_etv/万元	排碳权交易额 trading volume of carbon emission rights	O_pp/t	纸产品产量 output of paper product
E_tv/万元	排污权交易额 emissions trading volume	P_ui/(万元·t^-1)	浆单位收入 pulp unit income
F_rti/万元	林权交易收入 income from forest right transaction	P_y/t	浆产量 pulp yield
F_epc/万元	营林企业制浆成本 pulp cost of forest entities	P_fme/%	营销对营林反哺比例 proportion of feedback from marketing entities
G_raa/(hm²·a^-1)	造林面积增长率 growth rate of afforestation area	P_fpe/%	造纸对营林反哺比例 proportion of feedback from paper making entities
I_fme/万元	营林主体收入 income of forest making entities	F_vpm/万元	造纸对营林利益反哺值 benefit feedback value from paper making entities
I_ai/万元	行业平均收益 industry average income	F_vme/万元	营销对营林利益反哺值 benefit feedback value from marketing entities
I_dms/万元	营销主体分配的共生收益 income distributed by marketing entities	S_i/万元	共生收益 symbiotic income
I_dps/万元	造纸主体分配的共生收益 income distributed by paper making entities	S_p/(万元·t^-1)	销售价格 selling price
I_pme/万元	造纸主体收入income of paper making entities	U_cp/(万元·t^-1)	浆单位成本unit cost of pulp
M_fai/(hm²·a^-1)	成熟林面积增量 area increment of mature forest	U_ipp/(万元·t^-1)	纸产品单位收入 unit income of paper products
M_ci/万元	多主体共同收益multi-agent common income	U_cpp/(万元·t^-1)	纸产品单位成本unit cost of paper products

主体 entity	步长/a step size	收益/万元 income
主体 entity	步长/a step size	2015年	2020年	2025年	2030年	2035年	2040年	2045年	2050年
	1.00	1.10×10⁶	1.20×10⁶	1.29×10⁶	1.40×10⁶	1.51×10⁶	1.63×10⁶	1.75×10⁶	1.89×10⁶
造纸 paper mabing	0.50	1.10×10⁶	1.20×10⁶	1.29×10⁶	1.40×10⁶	1.51×10⁶	1.63×10⁶	1.76×10⁶	1.90×10⁶
	0.25	1.10×10⁶	1.20×10⁶	1.29×10⁶	1.40×10⁶	1.51×10⁶	1.63×10⁶	1.76×10⁶	1.90×10⁶
	1.00	3.71×10⁵	4.03×10⁵	4.36×10⁵	4.71×10⁵	5.08×10⁵	5.48×10⁵	5.91×10⁵	6.37×10⁵
营林 forest making	0.50	3.71×10⁵	4.03×10⁵	4.36×10⁵	4.71×10⁵	5.08×10⁵	5.49×10⁵	5.92×10⁵	6.38×10⁵
	0.25	3.71×10⁵	4.03×10⁵	4.36×10⁵	4.71×10⁵	5.09×10⁵	5.49×10⁵	5.92×10⁵	6.39×10⁵
	1.00	2.83×10⁶	3.07×10⁶	3.33×10⁶	3.59×10⁶	3.87×10⁶	4.18×10⁶	4.51×10⁶	4.86×10⁶
营销 markerting	0.50	2.83×10⁶	3.07×10⁶	3.33×10⁶	3.59×10⁶	3.88×10⁶	4.19×10⁶	4.52×10⁶	4.87×10⁶
	0.25	2.83×10⁶	3.07×10⁶	3.33×10⁶	3.59×10⁶	3.88×10⁶	4.19×10⁶	4.52×10⁶	4.88×10⁶
	1.00	7.97×10⁶	8.65×10⁶	9.36×10⁶	1.01×10⁷	1.09×10⁷	1.17×10⁷	1.26×10⁷	1.36×10⁷
多主体 multi-agent common	0.50	7.97×10⁶	8.65×10⁶	9.36×10⁶	1.01×10⁷	1.09×10⁷	1.17×10⁷	1.25×10⁷	1.37×10⁷
	0.25	7.97×10⁶	8.65×10⁶	9.36×10⁶	1.01×10⁷	1.09×10⁷	1.17×10⁷	1.27×10⁷	1.37×10⁷

Dynamic simulation of multi-agent benefit distributions in the forest paper green supply chain with back-feeding mechanisms

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模拟反哺方案 simulated back-feeding scheme	反哺比例/% back-feeding ratio
模拟反哺方案 simulated back-feeding scheme	2015年	2020年	2030年	2040年	2050年
不反哺non-refeeding scheme	0	0	0	0	0
固定反哺比例Ⅰ fixed back-feeding ratio scheme Ⅰ	10	10	10	10	10
固定反哺比例Ⅱ fixed back-feeding ratio scheme Ⅱ	20	20	20	20	20
变动反哺比例Ⅰ scheme of changing the proportion of back-feeding Ⅰ	20	16	12	8	4
变动反哺比例Ⅱ scheme of changing the proportion of back-feeding Ⅱ	30	25	20	15	10

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