JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY ›› 2023, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (4): 253-261.doi: 10.12302/j.issn.1000-2006.202111036
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LUO Shunlan1,3(), HU Yuan2,3,*(
), ZENG Weizhong2,3, ZHENG Wenxue4
Received:
2021-11-22
Revised:
2022-02-21
Online:
2023-07-30
Published:
2023-07-20
CLC Number:
LUO Shunlan, HU Yuan, ZENG Weizhong, ZHENG Wenxue. Rural economic welfare effects of forest carbon sink projects from a relative perspective[J]. JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY, 2023, 47(4): 253-261.
Table 1
Variable selections and means"
变量 variable | 变量名称 variable name | 变量说明及赋值 variable description and assignment | 均值 mean | 标准差 standard deviation |
---|---|---|---|---|
被解释变量 explained variable | 农村居民收入 | 各县历年农村人均纯收入/元 | 8 119.01 | 4 399.21 |
纵向比较 | V1 | 1.30 | 0.55 | |
横向乡乡比较 | V2 | 0 | 0.30 | |
横向城乡比较 | V3 | 0.61 | 0.14 | |
核心解释变量 core explanatory variable | 是否为森林碳汇项目试点县占比 | 是=1,否=0 | 0.09 | 0.29 |
特征变量 characteristic variable | 是否为国家级贫困县占比 | 是=1,否=0 | 0.24 | 0.43 |
是否为民族县占比 | 是=1,否=0 | 0.36 | 0.48 | |
人均GDP | 各县人均GDP/元 | 23 000 | 15 000 | |
第一产业从业人数占总从业人数比重 | 第一产业从业人数与从业总人数之比 | 0.53 | 0.17 | |
农业机械总动力 | 农、林、牧、渔业的各种动力机械的动力总和/MW | 20.63 | 16.03 | |
年末实有耕地面积占行政 区域土地面积比重 | 年末实有耕地面积与行政区域土地面积之比 | 0.18 | 0.16 | |
化肥施用量 | 历年化肥施用量/t | 13 687 | 14 165.41 | |
单位耕地面积粮食产量 | 粮食总产量与年末实有 耕地面积之比/(t·hm-2) | 1.67 | 0.63 | |
单位行政面积公路里程 | 公路里程与单位行政面积 之比/(km·hm-2) | 0.97 | 0.81 |
Table 2
The average participation effects of the whole sample treatment group and the control group (ATT)"
年份 year | 农村居民 收入效应 rural residents' income ATT | 横向城乡 比较效应 horizontal urban-rural comparison ATT | 横向乡乡 比较效应 horizontal township comparison ATT | 纵向比较 效应 longitudinal comparison ATT |
---|---|---|---|---|
2007 | -824.352** | 0.027 | -0.245** | 0 |
2008 | -1 023.048*** | 0.050 | -0.267*** | -0.151 |
2009 | -1 063.036*** | 0.051 | -0.255*** | -0.083 |
2010 | -1 319.920*** | 0.058 | -0.265*** | -0.094 |
2011 | -1 634.190*** | 0.045 | -0.270*** | -0.145 |
2012 | -1 919.728*** | 0.044 | -0.273*** | -0.063 |
2013 | -2 106.924*** | 0.035 | -0.263*** | -0.025 |
2014 | -2 574.610*** | 0.035 | -0.278*** | -0.070 |
2015 | -2 884.022*** | 0.016 | -0.263*** | -0.001 |
2016 | -3 120.646*** | 0.013 | -0.259*** | -0.011 |
2017 | -3 362.386*** | 0.006 | -0.255*** | -0.027 |
2018 | -3 590.975*** | 0.004 | -0.248*** | -0.028 |
Table 3
Average participation effects between treatment group and control group at different counting periods"
年份 year | 处理效应ATT | |
---|---|---|
20 a | 30 a | |
2007 | -1 048.453** | -854.045** |
2008 | -1 493.886** | -941.221* |
2009 | -1 364.880** | -1 089.084** |
2010 | -1 573.212** | -1 420.613** |
2011 | -1 868.582** | -1 785.940** |
2012 | -2 089.464** | -2 162.920*** |
2013 | -2 211.957** | -2 416.793*** |
2014 | -2 621.350** | -2 947.607*** |
2015 | -2 536.170** | -3 552.185*** |
2016 | -2 712.890** | -3 862.588*** |
2017 | -2 915.836** | -4 166.617*** |
2018 | -3 105.092** | -4 457.275*** |
Table 4
Average participation effects between treatment group and control group with different poverty attributes"
年份 year | 农村居民收入效应 rural residents' income ATT | 横向城乡比较效应 horizontal urban- rural comparison ATT | 纵向比较效应 longitudinal comparison ATT | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
贫困县 impoverished counties | 非贫困县 non-poor county | 贫困县 impoverished counties | 非贫困县 non-poor county | 贫困县 impoverished counties | 非贫困县 non-poor county | |
2007 | 214.205 | -723.939* | -0.108 | -0.017 | 0.279*** | -0.151* |
2008 | 179.987 | -903.458* | -0.086 | -0.004 | 0.305*** | -0.061 |
2009 | 148.786 | -953.194* | -0.101* | 0.025 | 0.322*** | -0.131 |
2010 | 126.405 | -1 174.298* | -0.118* | 0.059 | 0.355*** | -0.162* |
2011 | -31.905 | -1 359.296* | -0.114** | 0.044 | 0.402*** | -0.146* |
2012 | -211.619 | -1 556.093** | -0.103** | 0.048 | 0.430*** | -0.151* |
2013 | -354.857 | -1 642.653** | -0.104** | 0.043 | 0.425*** | -0.150* |
2014 | -462.143 | -2 034.755** | -0.105** | 0.048 | 0.459*** | -0.153* |
2015 | -1 400.405*** | -2 106.199** | -0.097** | 0.036 | 0.471*** | -0.160* |
2016 | -1 571.214*** | -2 266.547** | -0.098** | 0.035 | 0.467*** | -0.159* |
2017 | -1 689.976*** | -2 453.550** | -0.091** | 0.026 | 0.461*** | -0.155* |
2018 | — | -2 629.486** | — | 0.025 | — | -0.152* |
Table 5
Average participation effects between treatment group and control group of different ethnic attributes"
年份 year | 农村居民收入效应 rural residents' income ATT | 横向城乡比较效应 horizontal urban rural comparison ATT | 纵向比较效应 longitudinal comparison ATT | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
民族县 minority county | 非民族县 non-ethnic county | 民族县 minority county | 非民族县 non-ethnic county | 民族县 minority county | 非民族县 non-ethnic county | |
2007 | 116.769 | — | -0.079 | — | 0.181*** | -0.136 |
2008 | -34.694 | -1 023.405** | -0.039 | -0.070 | 0.227*** | -0.221* |
2009 | 48.497 | -1 353.589*** | -0.060 | 0.010 | 0.226*** | -0.257** |
2010 | 0.492 | -1 661.640*** | -0.052 | 0.047 | 0.245*** | -0.228** |
2011 | -168.178 | -1 934.416*** | -0.069* | 0.048 | 0.273*** | -0.211** |
2012 | -405.778 | -2 231.039*** | -0.05 | 0.048 | 0.282*** | -0.195* |
2013 | -557.642 | -2 453.772*** | -0.053 | 0.052 | 0.265*** | — |
2014 | -697.038 | — | -0.053 | — | 0.282*** | -0.193 |
2015 | -1 312.675* | -3 183.157** | -0.056 | 0.057 | 0.290*** | -0.190 |
2016 | -1 473.906** | -3 416.042** | -0.058 | 0.058 | 0.286*** | -0.188 |
2017 | -1 641.233** | -3 644.308** | -0.064* | 0.055 | 0.280*** | -0.185 |
2018 | -1 766.656** | -3 885.644** | -0.063* | 0.053 | 0.270*** | — |
Table 6
Average levels of vertical comparison, horizontal rural-rural comparison, horizontal urban-rural comparison"
年份 year | 横向城乡比较 horizontal urban- rural comparison | 横向乡乡比较 horizontal township comparison | 纵向比较 longitudinal comparison |
---|---|---|---|
2007 | 0.67 | 0.25 | 1.00 |
2008 | 0.69 | 0.28 | 1.11 |
2009 | 0.71 | 0.26 | 1.10 |
2010 | 0.70 | 0.26 | 1.18 |
2011 | 0.67 | 0.27 | 1.20 |
2012 | 0.67 | 0.27 | 1.16 |
2013 | 0.65 | 0.26 | 1.15 |
2014 | 0.63 | 0.27 | 1.14 |
2015 | 0.57 | 0.26 | 1.21 |
2016 | 0.56 | 0.25 | 1.09 |
2017 | 0.55 | 0.25 | 1.10 |
2018 | 0.54 | 0.24 | 1.11 |
Table 7
Rural economic welfare in the pilot counties of the forest carbon sink project with and without comparison factors"
年份year | ui(θ1=θ2=θ3=0) | ui(θ1≠,θ2≠0,θ3≠0) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2007 | 7.895 | 7.187 | 8.97 | |||
2008 | 7.725 | 7.349 | 4.87 | |||
2009 | 7.839 | 7.496 | 4.38 | |||
2010 | 8.216 | 7.808 | 4.97 | |||
2011 | 8.463 | 7.886 | 6.81 | |||
2012 | 8.732 | 7.931 | 9.18 | |||
2013 | 8.424 | 8.067 | 4.24 | |||
2014 | 8.688 | 8.246 | 5.08 | |||
2015 | 8.857 | 8.387 | 5.31 | |||
2016 | 9.412 | 7.540 | 19.89 | |||
2017 | 9.078 | 8.550 | 5.81 | |||
2018 | 9.049 | 8.596 | 5.01 |
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