The export efficiency and potential capacity of China’s forest products to RCEP member countries

PAN Lei, XIONG Lichun, YAO Yuchen, LIANG Zhao, ZHU Zhen

JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY ›› 2024, Vol. 48 ›› Issue (1) : 237-247.

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南京林业大学学报（自然科学版）
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JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY ›› 2024, Vol. 48 ›› Issue (1) : 237-247. DOI: 10.12302/j.issn.1000-2006.202208058

The export efficiency and potential capacity of China’s forest products to RCEP member countries

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Abstract

【Objective】 To discuss China’s export efficiency and potential capacity of forest products to Regional Comprehensive Econoroic Partnership(RCEP) member countries, it is important to identify the future expansion of China’s forest product exports to other RCEP member countries and to optimize the export market and structure of China’s forest products. 【Method】 Based on China’s forest product export data to RCEP member countries from 2004 to 2018, the stochastic frontier gravity model was used to analyze China’s forest product export efficiency to RCEP member countries and forecast the potential export capacity combined with tariff reduction scenarios. 【Result】 Trade barriers, transportation and economic policies have negative impacts on the export efficiency of forest products in China. With the establishment of RCEP, RCEP countries will further occupy the export market of China’s forest products, which will help expand China’s export of forest products to developing countries. 【Conclusion】RCEP will further adjust and optimize the export structure of forest products in China. Differentiated policies should be designed for forest products to accelerate the reduction of trade barriers among RCEP countries, advance negotiations with RCEP countries on forest product tariff reduction, and enhance the competitiveness and added value of paper products by improving innovation capabilities.

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Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership(RCEP) / export efficiency / potential capacity of exportation / exportation structure / tariff concession / forest products trade

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PAN Lei , XIONG Lichun , YAO Yuchen , et al . The export efficiency and potential capacity of China’s forest products to RCEP member countries[J]. JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY. 2024, 48(1): 237-247 https://doi.org/10.12302/j.issn.1000-2006.202208058

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