JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY ›› 2018, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (02): 207-212.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-2006.201606034

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A comprehensive evaluation method of Chinese rosin trade risk

WANG Jin, NIE Ying*   

  1. College of Economics and Management, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, China
  • Online:2018-04-12 Published:2018-04-12

Abstract: 【Objective】 Analyze the risk of Chinese rosin trade by fuzzy evaluation and performing a comprehensive evaluation, and proposing targeted operation risk control and management strategy. 【Method】 Based on the actual situation of the current Chinese rosin trade, along with the risk management research status at home and abroad, the study uses existing methods and actual investigation for the identification and analysis of the Chinese rosin trade risk and the various factors influencing it. The factors inducing contract risk, market risk, credit risk and four other risk categories are identified according to the designed rosin trade risk evaluation index system of Chinese. This paper analyzes the methods, basis, processes and effectiveness of China rosin trade risk assessment. 【Results】 There are differences in the service items, operating conditions, and risk control levels in all kinds of Chinese rosin trade. It is found that the market has the biggest influence, followed by the contract. Credit has the least influence. Rosin trade risk is at a good level in China, but there is still the need to uncover hidden trouble, and to analyze its dangerous operations to continuously improve and perfect the operational risk management, and constantly improve the level of operation risk assessment. Based on the analysis, this paper constructs a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model of the Chinese rosin trade, and establishes the relevant index system, evaluation set, and single factor fuzzy evaluation matrix. 【Conclusion】Chinese rosin trade is influenced by auxiliary production facilities, the natural conditions, applicability and matching technology, etc. There is a need to evaluate the operational risk, control and management, and to improve and optimize the environment of the Chinese rosin trade and technological factors, thereby enhancing the overall level of Chinese rosin trade risk control.

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