JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY ›› 2025, Vol. 49 ›› Issue (3): 254-264.doi: 10.12302/j.issn.1000-2006.202312007
Previous Articles Next Articles
SHI Wei1(), ZHAO Sixue1, QIAO Fuwei2, AN Yi1, WANG Weijuan1, ZHANG Guowei1
Received:
2023-12-05
Accepted:
2023-12-29
Online:
2025-05-30
Published:
2025-05-27
CLC Number:
SHI Wei, ZHAO Sixue, QIAO Fuwei, AN Yi, WANG Weijuan, ZHANG Guowei. Spatiotemporal differentiation and influencing factors of forestry production efficiency with carbon sequestration in China under the context of carbon neutrality[J]. JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY, 2025, 49(3): 254-264.
Table 1
Average value of forestry carbon sequestration in China, 2003—2018"
省域 provincial area | 森林蓄积量/ ×104 m3 forest stock | 碳汇量/ ×108t carbon sinks | 碳汇价值/ ×108元 the value of carbon sinks | 排序 rank |
---|---|---|---|---|
北京Beijing | 1 347.31 | 0.16 | 10.19 | 28 |
天津Tianjing | 283.73 | 0.03 | 2.17 | 30 |
河北Hebei | 9 242.76 | 1.07 | 72.06 | 23 |
山西Shanxi | 8 626.60 | 1.00 | 67.16 | 24 |
内蒙古Inner Mongoria | 123 887.81 | 14.36 | 990.81 | 5 |
辽宁Liaoning | 22 102.24 | 2.56 | 174.63 | 17 |
吉林Jilin | 88 462.87 | 10.25 | 710.67 | 6 |
黑龙江Heilongjiang | 156 940.69 | 18.19 | 1 253.33 | 4 |
上海Shanghai | 173.28 | 0.02 | 1.20 | 31 |
江苏Jiangsu | 4 166.38 | 0.48 | 32.50 | 26 |
浙江Zhejiang | 18 113.07 | 2.10 | 140.09 | 19 |
安徽Anhui | 14 732.27 | 1.71 | 115.24 | 20 |
福建Fujian | 53 645.53 | 6.22 | 425.22 | 7 |
江西Jiangxi | 36 580.01 | 4.24 | 291.20 | 10 |
山东Shandong | 5 690.98 | 0.66 | 44.66 | 25 |
河南Henan | 12 869.21 | 1.49 | 100.34 | 21 |
湖北Hubei | 23 447.84 | 2.72 | 182.01 | 15 |
湖南Hunan | 30 059.98 | 3.48 | 239.22 | 13 |
广东Guangdong | 32 632.53 | 3.78 | 258.30 | 11 |
广西Guangxi | 45 716.61 | 5.30 | 358.86 | 8 |
海南Hainan | 9 513.04 | 1.10 | 73.01 | 22 |
重庆Chongqing | 14 590.34 | 1.69 | 180.87 | 16 |
四川Sichuan | 162 066.01 | 18.78 | 1 301.38 | 2 |
贵州Guizhou | 25 276.31 | 2.93 | 196.86 | 14 |
云南Yunnan | 158 717.28 | 18.39 | 1 266.35 | 3 |
西藏Xizang | 201 601.32 | 23.36 | 1 663.19 | 1 |
陕西Shaanxi | 37 125.18 | 4.30 | 293.96 | 9 |
甘肃Gansu | 20 337.24 | 2.36 | 161.81 | 18 |
青海Qinghai | 4 014.59 | 0.47 | 32.15 | 27 |
宁夏Ningxia | 618.41 | 0.07 | 4.78 | 29 |
新疆Xinjiang | 31 579.31 | 3.66 | 252.12 | 12 |
合计total | 1 354 160.68 | 156.92 | 10 896.34 |
Table 2
Tobit regression results of influencing factors of carbon sequestration forestry productivity in China"
解释变量 explanatory variables | 回归系数 regression coefficients | 标准误差 standard error | t | P |
---|---|---|---|---|
X1 | -0.043** | 0.040 | -1.610 | 0.002 |
X2 | 0.080 | 0.056 | 0.840 | 0.159 |
X3 | 0.046** | 0.005 | 2.680 | <0.001 |
X4 | -0.017** | 0.029 | -0.570 | 0.001 |
X5 | 0.014* | 0.082 | 1.630 | 0.045 |
Cons | 0.092 | 0.579 | 1.950 | 0.692 |
[1] | 邓诗宇, 张明芳, 侯怡萍, 等. 气候变化下川西地区森林碳储量对森林管理措施和干扰的长期响应[J]. 生态学报, 2025, 45(1):210-226. |
DENG S Y, ZHANG M F, HOU Y P, et al. Long-term response of forest carbon storage to forest management measures and disturbances in western Sichuan under climate change[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2025, 45(1):210-226. DOI:10.20103/j.stxb.202404030719. | |
[2] | 吴恒, 吕大伟, 汪圣云, 等. “双碳”战略背景下的多尺度森林碳储量年度监测研究进展与思考[J]. 世界林业研究, 2024, 37(1):59-64. |
WU H, LV D W, WANG S Y, et al. Research progress and thinking on annual monitoring of multi-scale forest carbon storage under the background of “dual carbon” strategy[J]. World Forestry Research, 2024, 37(1):59-64. DOI:10.13348/j.cnki.sjlyyj.2024.0001.y. | |
[3] | CHU X, ZHAN J Y, LI Z H, et al. Assessment on forest carbon sequestration in the Three-North Shelterbelt Program region,China[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2019, 215:382-389.DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.12.296. |
[4] | DIXON R K, SOLOMON A M, BROWN S, et al. Carbon pools and flux of global forest ecosystems[J]. Science, 1994, 263(5144):185-190.DOI: 10.1126/science.263.5144.185. |
[5] | LI W, ZHANG S H, LU C. Exploration of China’s net CO2 emissions evolutionary pathways by 2060 in the context of carbon neutrality[J]. Science of The Total Environment, 2022,831:154909.DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154909. |
[6] | LI L, HAO T T, CHI T. Evaluation on China’s forestry resources efficiency based on big data[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2017, 142:513-523.DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.02.078. |
[7] | 包蕊, 李涛, 张欣怡, 等. 森林生态系统损害评估体系与管理制度研究[J]. 生态学报, 2021, 41(3):924-933. |
BAO R, LI T, ZHANG X Y, et al. Study on the assessment and management system of forest ecosystem damage[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2021, 41(3):924-933.DOI: 10.5846/stxb202003100474. | |
[8] | LIN B Q, GE J M. To harvest or not to harvest? Forest management as a trade-off between bioenergy production and carbon sink[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2020,268:122219.DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.122219. |
[9] | 石小亮, 陈珂, 曹先磊, 等. 森林生态系统管理研究综述[J]. 生态经济, 2017, 33(7):195-201. |
SHI X L, CHEN K, CAO X L, et al. Review of forest ecosystem management[J]. Ecological Economy, 2017, 33(7):195-201. | |
[10] | 刘亚, 黄安胜. 森林碳汇环境库兹涅茨曲线特征及其影响因素分析[J]. 世界林业研究, 2023, 36(2):132-137. |
LIU Y, HUANG A S. Characteristics and influencing factors of environmental Kuznets curve for forest carbon sequestration[J]. World Forestry Research, 2023, 36(2):132-137.DOI: 10.13348/j.cnki.sjlyyj.2023.0011.y. | |
[11] | 谢军安, 王爱霞. 完善森林管理增强碳汇能力[J]. 当代经济管理, 2011, 33(4):31-33. |
XIE J A, WANG A X. On the relationship between forest management and carbon sink[J]. Contemporary Economy & Management, 2011, 33(4):31-33.DOI: 10.13253/j.cnki.ddjjgl.2011.04.010. | |
[12] | 李海萍, 李定恒, 李豪. 贵州省退耕还林还草潜在碳汇效益评估[J]. 生态学报, 2022, 42(23):9499-9510. |
LI H P, LI D H, LI H. Evaluation of potential carbon sink benefits of Grain for Green Project in Guizhou Province[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2022, 42(23):9499-9510.DOI: 10.5846/stxb202207172042. | |
[13] | HOUGHTON R A, HALL F, GOETZ S J. Importance of biomass in the global carbon cycle[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research:Biogeosciences, 2009, 114(G2):G00E03.DOI: 10.1029/2009JG000935. |
[14] | 方精云. 北半球中高纬度的森林碳库可能远小于目前的估算[J]. 植物生态学报, 2000, 24 (5):635-638. |
FANG J Y. The forest carbon pool in the middle and high latitudes in the Northern Hemisphere may be much smaller than the current estimate[J]. Chinese Journal of Plant Ecology, 2000, 24 (5):635-638. | |
[15] | FANG J Y, WANG G G, LIU G H, et al. Forest biomass of China:an estimate based on the biomass-volume relationship[J]. Ecological Applications,1998, 8(4):1084-1091.DOI: 10.1890/1051-0761(1998)008[1084:FBOCAE]2.0.CO;2. |
[16] | 康惠宁, 马钦彦, 袁嘉祖. 中国森林C汇功能基本估计[J]. 应用生态学报, 1996, 7(3):230-234. |
KANG H N, MA Q Y, YUAN J Z. Estimation of carbon sink function of forests in China[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 1996, 7(3):230-234. | |
[17] | 李秀娟, 周涛, 何学兆. NPP增长驱动下的中国森林生态系统碳汇[J]. 自然资源学报, 2009, 24(3):491-497. |
LI X J, ZHOU T, HE X Z. Carbon sink of forest ecosystem driven by NPP increasing in China[J]. Journal of Natural Resources, 2009, 24(3):491-497.DOI: 10.11849/zrzyxb.2009.03.014. | |
[18] | LEBEL L G, STUART W B. Technical efficiency evaluation of logging contractors using a nonparametric model[J]. Journal of Forest Engineering, 1998, 9(2):15-24.DOI: 10.1080/08435243.1998.10702714. |
[19] | VIITALA E J, HÄNNINEN H. Measuring the efficiency of public forestry organizations[J]. Forest Science, 1998, 44(2):298-307.DOI: 10.1093/forestscience/44.2.298. |
[20] | SOWLATI T. Efficiency studies in forestry using data envelopment analysis[J]. Forest Products Journal, 2005, 55(1):49-57. |
[21] | LEE J. Using DEA to measure efficiency in forest and paper companies[J]. Forest Products Journal, 2005, 55(1):58-66. |
[22] | CHEN W H, XU D Y, LIU J C. The forest resources input-output model:an application in China[J]. Ecological Indicators, 2015, 51:87-97.DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2014.09.007. |
[23] | 闵志强, 胡云云, 刘友林, 等. 延安市林草光伏互补建设空间适宜性及固碳减排效益研究[J]. 西北林学院学报, 2023, 38(5):57-66. |
MIN Z Q, HU Y Y, LIU Y L, et al. Suitability of forest grass PV complementary space and carbon fixation and reduction benefits in Yan’an[J]. Journal of Northwest Forestry University, 2023, 38(5):57-66.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2023.05.08. | |
[24] | 范正根, 邓超, 范雨琪, 等. “双碳” 目标视角下耕地利用生态效率测度及其时空特征:以长江中下游粮食主产区为例[J]. 生态经济, 2023, 39(11):119-127. |
FAN Z G, DENG C, FAN Y Q, et al. Measurement of eco-efficiency for cultivated land use and its spatial-temporal characteristics from the perspective of “double carbon” target:taking the main grain producing areas in the mid and lower reaches of the Yangtze River as an example[J]. Ecol-ogical Economy, 2023, 39(11):119-127. | |
[25] | 郗婷婷, 李顺龙. 黑龙江省森林碳汇潜力分析[J]. 林业经济问题, 2006, 26(6):519-522,526. |
XI T T, LI S L. Analysis of forestry carbon mitigation potential in Heilongjiang Province[J]. Problems of Forestry Economics, 2006, 26(6):519-522,526.DOI: 10.16832/j.cnki.1005-9709.2006.06.008. | |
[26] | CHEN L, JIA G Z. Environmental efficiency analysis of China’s regional industry:a data envelopment analysis (DEA) based approach[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2017, 142:846-853.DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.01.045. |
[27] | COOPER W W, SEIFORD L M, ZHU J. Handbook on data enve-lopment analysis[M]. Cham: Springer US, 2011.DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4419-6151-8. |
[28] | CHARNES A, COOPER W W, RHODES E. Measuring the efficiency of decision making units[J]. European Journal of Operational Research, 1978, 2(6):429-444.DOI: 10.1016/0377-2217(78)90138-8. |
[29] | 施琪, 王玉玲. 基于超效率SBM模型的中国林业产业绩效评价研究[J]. 中国林业经济, 2022(1):17-23. |
SHI Q, WANG Y L. Research on performance evaluation of China forestry industry based on super-efficiency SBM model[J]. China Forestry Econ-omics, 2022(1):17-23.DOI: 10.13691/j.cnki.cn23-1539/f.2022.01.004. | |
[30] | 杨旭, 屈志光, 邓远建. 中国省域林业生产技术效率的空间收敛性及分异特征[J]. 资源科学, 2021, 43(10):1947-1960. |
YANG X, QU Z G, DENG Y J. Spatial convergence and differentiation of forestry production technology efficiency in 30 provinces of China[J]. Resources Science, 2021, 43(10):1947-1960.DOI: 10.18402/resci.2021.10.02. | |
[31] | 支玲, 许文强, 洪家宜, 等. 森林碳汇价值评价:三北防护林体系工程人工林案例[J]. 林业经济, 2008, 30(3):41-44. |
ZHI L, XU W Q, HONG J Y, et al. Evaluation of forest carbon-sink:a case study on artificial plantation of the three-north shelterbelt forest system program in China[J]. Forestry Economics, 2008, 30(3):41-44.DOI: 10.13843/j.cnki.lyjj.2008.03.008. | |
[32] | 吕洁华, 付思琦, 张滨. 黑龙江省国有重点林区林业经济投入产出效率研究[J]. 林业经济问题, 2019, 39(3):300-306. |
LYU J H, FU S Q, ZHANG B. Study on the input-output efficiency of forestry in key state-owned forest areas of Heilongjiang Province[J]. Issues of Forestry Economics, 2019, 39(3):300-306.DOI: 10.16832/j.cnki.1005-9709.2019.03.012. | |
[33] | WANG J F, SHI K H, HU M X. Measurement of forest carbon sink efficiency and its influencing factors empirical evidence from China[J]. Forests, 2022, 13(11):1909.DOI: 10.3390/f13111909. |
[34] | 李文博. 江西省林业产业投入产出效率及其影响因素研究:基于DEA-Tobit模型[D]. 南昌: 江西农业大学, 2021. |
LI W B. Study on input-output efficiency of forestry industry in Jiangxi Province and its influencing factors:based on DEA-Tobit model[D]. Nanchang: Jiangxi Agricultural University, 2021.DOI: 10.27177/d.cnki.gjxnu.2021.000474. |
[1] | GUO Chunyan, QIN Tao, SONG Xiaoxiao. The allocation mechanism and optimization strategies of carbon emission allowance in China under Carbon Peak and Neutrality Goals [J]. JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY, 2025, 49(3): 1-13. |
[2] | LIU Can, LIU Hao, ZHU Wenqing, WANG Yanbin, ZHANG Han. The dynamic effects of the Sloping Land Conversion to Forests Program on grain production in China [J]. JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY, 2025, 49(1): 1-10. |
[3] | GUI Zhi, PENG Hongjun, SHI Ligang. Management strategy of carbon sequestration forest under carbon sequestration price insurance [J]. JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY, 2024, 48(5): 267-274. |
[4] | LI Chaohong, WEI Wei, JIANG Yu. Performance evaluation and obstacle factor screening of Natural Forest Protection Project area in Heilongjiang Province [J]. JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY, 2022, 46(5): 201-212. |
[5] | XUE Beibei, TIAN Guoshuang. An analysis of optimal rotation periods and carbon sequestration cost of Chinese fir plantations under different carbon payment mechanisms [J]. JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY, 2022, 46(2): 27-34. |
[6] | SONG Ye, PENG Hongjun, SUN Mingjun. Internal financing mechanisms of wood forest product supply chain under the cap-and-trade scheme [J]. JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY, 2021, 45(6): 232-238. |
[7] | WANG Weiwei, ZHANG Yingliang. The impact of farmers’ technical endowment on the adopting new varieties of fruit forest [J]. JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY, 2021, 45(5): 215-222. |
[8] | GAO Qinyi, PAN Chunxia, LIU Qiang, GU Guangtong, ZHU Yalu, WU Weiguang. Risk assessments of forestry carbon sequestration projects based on Bayesian network [J]. JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY, 2021, 45(4): 210-218. |
[9] | JIANG Zhan, CAI Zhijian, QIN Xi. Optimization of forestry production factors from the perspective of ecological performance growth [J]. JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY, 2019, 43(6): 159-164. |
[10] | LIU Can, ZHANG Minxin. Literature review and comments on forest ecological compensation [J]. JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY, 2019, 43(5): 149-155. |
[11] | LI Chaohong, ZHAO Xiaohong. Study on the coordinated development of ecological construction and economic transformation in state-owned forest region of forest industry in Heilongjiang Province [J]. JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY, 2019, 43(02): 144-152. |
[12] | SHEN Jie, YANG Zhongyue, QIAO Jiliang. Prediction and analysis of China's forestry output value based on seasonal time series model [J]. JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY, 2018, 42(05): 185-190. |
[13] | ZHU Weiqiang, GU Lei, LI Jia, SHI Yongjun, JI Wei. Economic benefit assessment of CCER bamboo forest management carbon sequestration in Anji County based on B-S option pricing model [J]. JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY, 2018, 42(04): 18-24. |
[14] | WANG Jin, NIE Ying. A comprehensive evaluation method of Chinese rosin trade risk [J]. JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY, 2018, 42(02): 207-212. |
[15] | WANG Jin, NIE Ying. Evaluation of the intra-industry trade type of Chinese rosin [J]. JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY, 2017, 41(02): 203-206. |
Viewed | ||||||
Full text |
|
|||||
Abstract |
|
|||||