Risk analysis ofZeuzera coffeae Nietner in Jiangsu Province

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-2006.201901032

JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY ›› 2019, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (6): 207-210.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-2006.201901032

Risk analysis ofZeuzera coffeae Nietner in Jiangsu Province

JU Yunwei¹(), ZHU Chenxi¹, YAN Xiaoru¹^,², ZHANG Yu¹, WU Yali¹, ZHAO Yuling¹, WANG Kechun³, LI Yongrong⁴

1. Co-Innovation Center for the Sustainable Forestry in Southern China, College of Forestry, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, China
2. Suzhou High-tech Zone (Huqiu District) Forestry Station, Suzhou 215010,China
3. Jiangsu Shuimu Agricultural Landscape Co., Ltd., Jurong 212400, China
4. Nanjing Green Earth Thin Shell Pecan Technology Co., Ltd., Nanjing 210014,China

Received:2019-01-23 Revised:2019-08-31 Online:2019-11-30 Published:2019-11-30

Abstract

Abstract:

【Objective】The risk analysis of Carya illinoinensis Koch harmed by Zeuzera coffeae Nietner was conducted to determine the degree of hazard, which provided a reference for the prevention and control of Z. coffeae in the production of C. illinoinensis.【Method】From 2016 to 2017, four sample lands (50 m × 50 m) of C. illinoinensis Koch planting bases in Luhe of Nanjing and Jurong of Zhenjiang of Jiangsu Province, were investigated for the damage caused by Z. coffeae Nietner to the C. illinoinensis Koch forest. Seven sample plots were selected from each sample land by the diagonal method, and ten sample plots from each sample were selected by interlaced sampling. The calculation method of the damaged rate ofC. illinoinensis Koch is the total number of damaged C. illinoinensis Koch divided by the total number of plants investigated. According to the evaluation criteria of forestry pest risk analysis, the risk degree of Z. coffeae was quantitatively analyzed for the first time, and the risk analysis was carried out by a comprehensive analysis method.【Result】The damaged rate of C. illinoinensis Koch was 41.43% for 3-year-old victims; the rate of 4-year-old victims was 32.86%; the rate of 5-year-old victims was 22.14%; the rate of 6-year-old victims was 17.86%. Based on the rules of pest risk analysis, we categorized the risk level of Z. coffeae Nietner using five indexes: the distribution, potential degree of damage, economical value of infected host plants, possibility of transmission and spreading, and difficulty of risk management in Jiangsu. The values of the five indexes were calculated as 2.00, 3.00, 1.80, 3.00 and 1.67, respectively. The overall risk value of Z. coffeae Nietner was 2.22. 【Conclusion】Through the analysis of the spread, harm, and risk of Z. coffeae Nietner, it is considered to be a highly dangerous pest for C. illinoinensis Koch. During production, the monitoring of Z. coffeae Nietner should be strengthened, and timely detection and prevention should be carried out to control the density of this insect population; this will reduce the negative impact on the economic and ecological benefits of C. illinoinensis.

Key words: Carya illinoinensis Koch, Zeuzera coffeae Nietner, risk analysis, Jiangsu

CLC Number:

S763.42

JU Yunwei, ZHU Chenxi, YAN Xiaoru, ZHANG Yu, WU Yali, ZHAO Yuling, WANG Kechun, LI Yongrong. Risk analysis ofZeuzera coffeae Nietner in Jiangsu Province[J]. JOURNAL OF NANJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY, 2019, 43(6): 207-210.

Figures/Tables 1

References 21

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指标层P_ij judgment content	评判标准 judgment standard	P赋分值 P assignment
区域内分布情况(P₁)	5%≤有害生物分布面积占其寄主 (包括潜在寄主)面积的百分率<20%	2.00
有害生物被截获的可能性(P₂₁)	寄主植物、产品调运的可能性和携带有害生物的可能性均大	3.00
运输过程中有害生物存活率(P₂₂)	存活率≥40%	3.00
有害生物的适生性(P₂₃)	繁殖能力和抗逆性都强	3.00
自然扩散能力(P₂₄)	随介体携带扩散能力或自身扩散能力强	3.00
分析区域内适生范围(P₂₅)	能够适生的地区≥50%	3.00
潜在经济危害性(P₃₁)	1%≤如传入可造成树木死亡率或产量损失<5%	1.00
非经济方面的潜在危害性(P₃₂)	潜在的环境、生态、社会影响大	3.00
官方重视程度(P₃₃)	曾被列入我国林业危险性有害生物名单	1.00
受害寄主的种类(P₄₁)	10种以上	3.00
受害寄主的分布面积或产量(P₄₂)	分布面积中等或产量中等	2.00
受害寄主的特殊经济价值(P₄₃)	经济价值高、社会影响大	3.00
检疫识别的难度(P₅₁)	现场识别可靠性一般,由经过专门培训的技术人员才能识别	2.00
除害处理的难度(P₅₂)	50%≤常规方法的除害效率≤100%	1.00
根除的难度(P₅₃)	介于效果差、成本高、难度大和效果好、成本低、简便易行之间	2.00

Risk analysis ofZeuzera coffeae Nietner in Jiangsu Province

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